WP leader: Tone Kristin Reiertsen
Co-leader: Kate Layton-Matthews
In WP4 we will measure the relative impacts of marine stressors: namely offshore wind farms, oil/gas installations, acute oil spills and shipping, prey fluctuations, fisheries, and climate change, on populations of six pelagic seabird species.
WP4 is split into two main parts.
The first part involves developing and utilising a quantitative, and comparable, measure of the population-level impacts of the stressors. This will involve modelling of demographic rates (e.g., adult survival and breeding success) and population sizes to gain accurate estimates of the populations state over time. The demographic data for all populations is available through the SEAPOP program. The outcome of this will be an input to the final cumulative impact map developed in WP5, providing information about the sensitivity of each population to the various stressors.
In the second part, we will use the final product (the MARCIS App) to identify high-risk areas for seabird populations and, for the most at-risk populations, we will develop population forecasts based on scenarios of climate change and marine human activities.